LaLiga · Matchweek 18
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
Atlético Madrid
ATM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rayo Vallecano26%
Draw26%
Atlético Madrid48%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.66
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–27.7%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Atlético Madrid will have the ball; Rayo Vallecano will not mind.
45%Possession59%
36%Territory42%
20%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.11
6.2%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Rayo Vallecano, 4 for Atlético Madrid.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.