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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 18

Levante

LEV

Valencia

VAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Levante48%
Draw26%
Valencia26%

Expected goals

1.64 – 1.18

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 1–010.3%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–07.7%
  • 0–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Valencia will have the ball; Levante will not mind.

34%Possession48%
29%Territory31%
18%From set plays13%
0.14Chance quality0.11
7.1%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Levante, 4 for Valencia. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.