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LaLiga · Matchweek 18

Levante

LEV

Valencia

VAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Levante38%
Draw30%
Valencia32%

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.14

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.2%
  • 1–011.7%
  • 0–110.5%
  • 0–010.5%
  • 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Levante will have the ball; Valencia will not mind.

44%Possession36%
34%Territory32%
27%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.2%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Levante, 3 for Valencia. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 109 matches, not the full season.