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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 18

Espanyol

ESP

Barcelona

BAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Espanyol15%
Draw21%
Barcelona64%

Expected goals

0.92 – 2.06

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–111.1%
  • 0–210.8%
  • 1–210.0%
  • 1–19.6%
  • 0–37.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Barcelona will have the ball; Espanyol will not mind.

37%Possession69%
30%Territory52%
50%From set plays18%
0.05Chance quality0.16
7.6%Directness2.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Espanyol, 3 for Barcelona. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.