LaLiga · Matchweek 18
Espanyol
ESP
Barcelona
BAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Espanyol22%
Draw23%
Barcelona55%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.99
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–18.5%
- 0–27.8%
- 1–36.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Barcelona will have the ball; Espanyol will not mind.
47%Possession72%
36%Territory53%
22%From set plays16%
0.12Chance quality0.18
5.9%Directness2.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Espanyol, 4 for Barcelona.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.