LaLiga · Matchweek 18
Celta Vigo
CEL
Deportivo A Coruña
DEO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celta Vigo43%
Draw31%
Deportivo A Coruña27%
Expected goals
1.24 – 0.94
Over 2.5
37%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.3%
- 1–113.2%
- 0–012.7%
- 0–110.5%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession46%
36%Territory42%
15%From set plays27%
0.12Chance quality0.10
4.4%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Celta Vigo, 2 for Deportivo A Coruña. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Deportivo A Coruña
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.