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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 18

Celta Vigo

CEL

Deportivo A Coruña

DEO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Celta Vigo45%
Draw30%
Deportivo A Coruña25%

Expected goals

1.31 – 0.93

Over 2.5

39%

Both to score

45%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.3%
  • 1–113.0%
  • 0–011.9%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 2–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

55%Possession50%
48%Territory34%
12%From set plays7%
0.08Chance quality0.09
4.3%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Celta Vigo, 4 for Deportivo A Coruña.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.