LaLiga · Matchweek 18
Real Betis
BET
Deportivo Alavés
DEO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Betis47%
Draw27%
Deportivo Alavés26%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.10
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–011.6%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.3%
- 0–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession42%
44%Territory38%
24%From set plays23%
0.12Chance quality0.08
4.9%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Betis, 3 for Deportivo Alavés. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Real Betis
Deportivo Alavés
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.