LaLiga · Matchweek 17
Valencia
VAL
Espanyol
ESP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Valencia32%
Draw30%
Espanyol38%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.24
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 0–111.7%
- 1–010.6%
- 0–010.6%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession47%
31%Territory36%
13%From set plays22%
0.11Chance quality0.12
4.8%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Valencia, 4 for Espanyol.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Valencia
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.