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LaLiga · Matchweek 17

Sevilla

SEV

Racing Santander

RAC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sevilla53%
Draw25%
Racing Santander22%

Expected goals

1.74 – 1.09

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.3%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–08.8%
  • 0–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Racing Santander will have the ball; Sevilla will not mind.

44%Possession52%
41%Territory43%
26%From set plays30%
0.07Chance quality0.08
5.6%Directness1.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sevilla, 3 for Racing Santander. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Racing Santander

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 109 matches, not the full season.