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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 17

Osasuna

OSA

Villarreal

VIL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Osasuna29%
Draw26%
Villarreal45%

Expected goals

1.26 – 1.61

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 1–07.3%
  • 0–27.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Villarreal will have the ball; Osasuna will not mind.

47%Possession66%
35%Territory53%
28%From set plays29%
0.16Chance quality0.13
8.5%Directness4.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Osasuna, 4 for Villarreal.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.