Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 17

Osasuna

OSA

Villarreal

VIL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Osasuna29%
Draw29%
Villarreal42%

Expected goals

1.07 – 1.32

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.0%
  • 0–112.4%
  • 0–010.4%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 1–28.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Villarreal will have the ball; Osasuna will not mind.

46%Possession61%
34%Territory49%
40%From set plays16%
0.12Chance quality0.09
8.3%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Osasuna, 3 for Villarreal. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 109 matches, not the full season.