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LaLiga · Matchweek 17

Getafe

GET

Levante

LEV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Getafe34%
Draw32%
Levante34%

Expected goals

1.07 – 1.09

Over 2.5

36%

Both to score

45%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.6%
  • 0013.1%
  • 0112.6%
  • 1012.4%
  • 127.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

37%Possession34%
41%Territory29%
24%From set plays18%
0.06Chance quality0.14
9.8%Directness7.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Getafe, 3 for Levante. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.