LaLiga · Matchweek 17
Getafe
GET
Levante
LEV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Getafe35%
Draw33%
Levante32%
Expected goals
1.07 – 1.01
Over 2.5
34%
Both to score
43%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–014.2%
- 1–113.6%
- 1–013.4%
- 0–112.6%
- 2–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
39%Possession47%
38%Territory34%
21%From set plays26%
0.08Chance quality0.09
10.1%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Getafe, 5 for Levante. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.