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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 17

Barcelona

BAR

Real Sociedad

RSO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Barcelona67%
Draw17%
Real Sociedad15%

Expected goals

2.65 – 1.27

Over 2.5

74%

Both to score

67%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–18.9%
  • 3–17.8%
  • 2–07.2%
  • 1–16.8%
  • 3–06.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Barcelona will have the ball; Real Sociedad will not mind.

69%Possession60%
52%Territory40%
18%From set plays15%
0.16Chance quality0.11
2.1%Directness3.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Barcelona, 3 for Real Sociedad. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.