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LaLiga · Matchweek 17

Barcelona

BAR

Real Sociedad

RSO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Barcelona72%
Draw16%
Real Sociedad11%

Expected goals

2.65 – 1.03

Over 2.5

70%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-1.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 219.2%
  • 209.1%
  • 318.1%
  • 307.7%
  • 107.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Barcelona will have the ball; Real Sociedad will not mind.

72%Possession50%
53%Territory42%
16%From set plays33%
0.18Chance quality0.06
2.8%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Barcelona, 4 for Real Sociedad.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Real Sociedad

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.