LaLiga · Matchweek 17
Deportivo A Coruña
DEO
Real Madrid
RMA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Deportivo A Coruña17%
Draw23%
Real Madrid61%
Expected goals
0.95 – 1.94
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–111.3%
- 0–210.3%
- 1–110.2%
- 1–210.0%
- 1–36.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession52%
42%Territory37%
27%From set plays5%
0.10Chance quality0.17
5.1%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Deportivo A Coruña, 3 for Real Madrid. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Deportivo A Coruña
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.