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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 17

Deportivo A Coruña

DEO

Real Madrid

RMA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Deportivo A Coruña15%
Draw21%
Real Madrid64%

Expected goals

0.91 – 2.06

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–111.1%
  • 0–210.8%
  • 1–210.0%
  • 1–19.6%
  • 0–37.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

50%Possession54%
34%Territory46%
7%From set plays19%
0.09Chance quality0.15
5.4%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Deportivo A Coruña, 4 for Real Madrid.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.