LaLiga · Matchweek 17
Celta Vigo
CEL
Atlético Madrid
ATM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celta Vigo27%
Draw29%
Atlético Madrid45%
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.40
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–112.7%
- 0–010.0%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–28.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession59%
48%Territory42%
12%From set plays19%
0.08Chance quality0.11
4.3%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Celta Vigo, 4 for Atlético Madrid.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.