LaLiga · Matchweek 17
Celta Vigo
CEL
Atlético Madrid
ATM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celta Vigo31%
Draw32%
Atlético Madrid37%
Expected goals
1.02 – 1.14
Over 2.5
36%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.5%
- 0–113.2%
- 0–013.1%
- 1–011.7%
- 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Atlético Madrid will have the ball; Celta Vigo will not mind.
46%Possession60%
36%Territory44%
15%From set plays9%
0.12Chance quality0.07
4.4%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Celta Vigo, 3 for Atlético Madrid. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Atlético Madrid
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.