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LaLiga · Matchweek 17

Deportivo Alavés

DEP

Elche

ELC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Deportivo Alavés43%
Draw28%
Elche29%

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.14

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–011.4%
  • 0–08.9%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Elche will have the ball; Deportivo Alavés will not mind.

42%Possession51%
38%Territory39%
23%From set plays42%
0.08Chance quality0.09
6.3%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Deportivo Alavés, 3 for Elche. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Deportivo Alavés

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.