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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 17

Deportivo Alavés

DEP

Elche

ELC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Deportivo Alavés53%
Draw25%
Elche22%

Expected goals

1.73 – 1.08

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.3%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–08.8%
  • 0–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Elche will have the ball; Deportivo Alavés will not mind.

40%Possession52%
39%Territory40%
26%From set plays32%
0.09Chance quality0.13
8.5%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Deportivo Alavés, 4 for Elche.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.