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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 16

Villarreal

VIL

Rayo Vallecano

RAY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Villarreal56%
Draw23%
Rayo Vallecano22%

Expected goals

1.99 – 1.21

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–08.7%
  • 2–08.0%
  • 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Villarreal will have the ball; Rayo Vallecano will not mind.

66%Possession45%
53%Territory36%
29%From set plays20%
0.13Chance quality0.10
4.0%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Villarreal, 4 for Rayo Vallecano.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.