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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 16

Real Sociedad

RSO

Getafe

GET

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Sociedad54%
Draw27%
Getafe19%

Expected goals

1.54 – 0.84

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.8%
  • 1–111.9%
  • 2–010.6%
  • 0–010.3%
  • 2–19.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Sociedad will have the ball; Getafe will not mind.

60%Possession39%
40%Territory38%
15%From set plays21%
0.11Chance quality0.08
3.4%Directness10.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Sociedad, 3 for Getafe. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.