LaLiga · Matchweek 16
Levante
LEV
Deportivo Alavés
DEP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Levante38%
Draw29%
Deportivo Alavés33%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.22
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–19.7%
- 0–09.1%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
44%Possession42%
34%Territory38%
27%From set plays23%
0.09Chance quality0.08
6.2%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Levante, 3 for Deportivo Alavés. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Deportivo Alavés
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.