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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 16

Levante

LEV

Deportivo Alavés

DEP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Levante39%
Draw27%
Deportivo Alavés34%

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.40

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–08.6%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

34%Possession40%
29%Territory39%
18%From set plays26%
0.14Chance quality0.09
7.1%Directness8.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Levante, 4 for Deportivo Alavés. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.