LaLiga · Matchweek 16
Espanyol
ESP
Celta Vigo
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Espanyol29%
Draw33%
Celta Vigo37%
Expected goals
0.91 – 1.05
Over 2.5
31%
Both to score
40%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–015.7%
- 0–114.8%
- 1–113.6%
- 1–012.6%
- 1–27.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Celta Vigo will have the ball; Espanyol will not mind.
37%Possession46%
30%Territory36%
50%From set plays15%
0.05Chance quality0.12
7.6%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Espanyol, 3 for Celta Vigo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.