LaLiga · Matchweek 16
Espanyol
ESP
Celta Vigo
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Espanyol41%
Draw30%
Celta Vigo29%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.04
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–012.9%
- 0–011.2%
- 0–110.2%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession55%
36%Territory48%
22%From set plays12%
0.12Chance quality0.08
5.9%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Espanyol, 4 for Celta Vigo.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.