LaLiga · Matchweek 16
Elche
ELC
Sevilla
SEV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Elche42%
Draw27%
Sevilla31%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.23
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.5%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Elche get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession44%
39%Territory41%
42%From set plays20%
0.09Chance quality0.08
6.7%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Elche, 4 for Sevilla. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.