LaLiga · Matchweek 16
Elche
ELC
Sevilla
SEV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Elche34%
Draw29%
Sevilla37%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.26
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 0–111.0%
- 1–010.4%
- 0–09.8%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession45%
40%Territory48%
32%From set plays41%
0.13Chance quality0.07
4.9%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Elche, 4 for Sevilla.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.