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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 16

Real Betis

BET

Racing Santander

RAC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Betis64%
Draw20%
Racing Santander16%

Expected goals

2.19 – 1.04

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–09.5%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 1–19.0%
  • 3–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

49%Possession52%
44%Territory43%
24%From set plays30%
0.12Chance quality0.08
4.9%Directness1.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Betis, 3 for Racing Santander. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Racing Santander

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.