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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 16

Atlético Madrid

ATM

Valencia

VAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Atlético Madrid65%
Draw22%
Valencia14%

Expected goals

1.93 – 0.80

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.2%
  • 2–012.1%
  • 1–19.9%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 3–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Atlético Madrid will have the ball; Valencia will not mind.

59%Possession48%
42%Territory31%
19%From set plays13%
0.11Chance quality0.11
5.2%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Atlético Madrid, 4 for Valencia.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.