LaLiga · Matchweek 16
Atlético Madrid
ATM
Valencia
VAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atlético Madrid52%
Draw28%
Valencia20%
Expected goals
1.49 – 0.84
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.0%
- 1–112.2%
- 0–010.8%
- 2–010.4%
- 2–19.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Atlético Madrid will have the ball; Valencia will not mind.
60%Possession36%
44%Territory32%
9%From set plays23%
0.07Chance quality0.13
4.4%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atlético Madrid, 3 for Valencia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Atlético Madrid
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.