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LaLiga · Matchweek 15

Villarreal

VIL

Real Sociedad

RSO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Villarreal57%
Draw23%
Real Sociedad20%

Expected goals

1.99 – 1.15

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.0%
  • 219.9%
  • 109.2%
  • 208.6%
  • 316.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Villarreal will have the ball; Real Sociedad will not mind.

66%Possession50%
53%Territory42%
29%From set plays33%
0.13Chance quality0.06
4.0%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Villarreal, 4 for Real Sociedad.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Real Sociedad

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.