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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 15

Rayo Vallecano

RAY

Levante

LEV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rayo Vallecano50%
Draw25%
Levante25%

Expected goals

1.74 – 1.20

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–09.7%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 0–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Rayo Vallecano will have the ball; Levante will not mind.

60%Possession47%
44%Territory34%
12%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness6.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rayo Vallecano, 5 for Levante. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.