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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 15

Rayo Vallecano

RAY

Levante

LEV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rayo Vallecano46%
Draw25%
Levante30%

Expected goals

1.76 – 1.41

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.7%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 1–07.9%
  • 1–27.1%
  • 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Rayo Vallecano will have the ball; Levante will not mind.

45%Possession34%
36%Territory29%
20%From set plays18%
0.10Chance quality0.14
6.2%Directness7.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Rayo Vallecano, 3 for Levante. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.