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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 15

Racing Santander

RAC

Deportivo A Coruña

DEO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Racing Santander37%
Draw27%
Deportivo A Coruña36%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.40

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

45%Possession50%
30%Territory34%
20%From set plays7%
0.19Chance quality0.09
3.4%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Racing Santander, 4 for Deportivo A Coruña.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.