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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 15

Osasuna

OSA

Elche

ELC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Osasuna53%
Draw26%
Elche22%

Expected goals

1.65 – 1.00

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.2%
  • 1–111.7%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 2–09.3%
  • 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

50%Possession51%
31%Territory39%
51%From set plays42%
0.12Chance quality0.09
9.7%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Osasuna, 3 for Elche. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.