LaLiga · Matchweek 15
Osasuna
OSA
Elche
ELC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Osasuna47%
Draw26%
Elche27%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.17
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.7%
- 0–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession52%
35%Territory40%
28%From set plays32%
0.16Chance quality0.13
8.5%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Osasuna, 4 for Elche.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Osasuna
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.