LaLiga · Matchweek 15
Getafe
GET
Valencia
VAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Getafe31%
Draw36%
Valencia33%
Expected goals
0.85 – 0.89
Over 2.5
26%
Both to score
36%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–019.4%
- 0–115.3%
- 1–014.5%
- 1–113.5%
- 1–26.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
39%Possession36%
38%Territory32%
21%From set plays23%
0.08Chance quality0.13
10.1%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Getafe, 3 for Valencia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.