LaLiga · Matchweek 15
Barcelona
BAR
Celta Vigo
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Barcelona65%
Draw21%
Celta Vigo14%
Expected goals
2.06 – 0.90
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.3%
- 2–011.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.5%
- 3–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Barcelona will have the ball; Celta Vigo will not mind.
69%Possession46%
52%Territory36%
18%From set plays15%
0.16Chance quality0.12
2.1%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Barcelona, 3 for Celta Vigo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.