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LaLiga · Matchweek 15

Atlético Madrid

ATM

Real Betis

BET

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Atlético Madrid50%
Draw26%
Real Betis24%

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.06

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–011.7%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–08.7%
  • 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Atlético Madrid will have the ball; Real Betis will not mind.

60%Possession49%
44%Territory44%
9%From set plays24%
0.07Chance quality0.12
4.4%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atlético Madrid, 3 for Real Betis. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Atlético Madrid

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.