LaLiga · Matchweek 15
Atlético Madrid
ATM
Real Betis
BET
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atlético Madrid53%
Draw24%
Real Betis23%
Expected goals
1.82 – 1.15
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–08.3%
- 0–15.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Real Betis get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
59%Possession54%
42%Territory45%
19%From set plays36%
0.11Chance quality0.10
5.2%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Atlético Madrid, 4 for Real Betis.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.