LaLiga · Matchweek 15
Deportivo Alavés
DEO
Espanyol
ESP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Deportivo Alavés46%
Draw30%
Espanyol24%
Expected goals
1.30 – 0.89
Over 2.5
37%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.9%
- 1–113.0%
- 0–012.5%
- 0–19.8%
- 2–08.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Espanyol get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
42%Possession37%
38%Territory30%
23%From set plays50%
0.08Chance quality0.05
6.3%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Deportivo Alavés, 3 for Espanyol. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Deportivo Alavés
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 109 matches, not the full season.