LaLiga · Matchweek 14
Valencia
VAL
Osasuna
OSA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Valencia32%
Draw31%
Osasuna37%
Expected goals
1.06 – 1.17
Over 2.5
38%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.4%
- 0–112.8%
- 0–012.2%
- 1–011.4%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
36%Possession50%
32%Territory31%
23%From set plays51%
0.13Chance quality0.12
6.4%Directness9.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Valencia, 2 for Osasuna. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.