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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 14

Valencia

VAL

Osasuna

OSA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Valencia37%
Draw30%
Osasuna33%

Expected goals

1.23 – 1.14

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.2%
  • 1–011.8%
  • 0–010.8%
  • 0–110.8%
  • 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Osasuna get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

48%Possession47%
31%Territory35%
13%From set plays28%
0.11Chance quality0.16
4.8%Directness8.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Valencia, 4 for Osasuna.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.