LaLiga · Matchweek 14
Real Sociedad
RSO
Sevilla
SEV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Sociedad39%
Draw30%
Sevilla31%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.10
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–012.2%
- 0–010.8%
- 0–110.4%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession45%
42%Territory48%
33%From set plays41%
0.06Chance quality0.07
5.8%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Real Sociedad, 4 for Sevilla.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Real Sociedad
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.