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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 14

Real Sociedad

RSO

Sevilla

SEV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Sociedad55%
Draw24%
Sevilla21%

Expected goals

1.86 – 1.12

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.7%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–08.7%
  • 3–16.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Sociedad will have the ball; Sevilla will not mind.

60%Possession44%
40%Territory41%
15%From set plays26%
0.11Chance quality0.07
3.4%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Sociedad, 3 for Sevilla. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.