LaLiga · Matchweek 14
Real Madrid
RMA
Deportivo Alavés
DEP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Madrid72%
Draw18%
Deportivo Alavés10%
Expected goals
2.29 – 0.78
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.3%
- 1–011.2%
- 2–19.5%
- 3–09.0%
- 1–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Real Madrid will have the ball; Deportivo Alavés will not mind.
52%Possession42%
37%Territory38%
5%From set plays23%
0.17Chance quality0.08
7.0%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Madrid, 3 for Deportivo Alavés. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Deportivo Alavés
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.