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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 14

Real Madrid

RMA

Deportivo Alavés

DEP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Madrid70%
Draw18%
Deportivo Alavés12%

Expected goals

2.30 – 0.88

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–011.1%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–18.3%
  • 3–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Madrid will have the ball; Deportivo Alavés will not mind.

54%Possession40%
46%Territory39%
19%From set plays26%
0.15Chance quality0.09
4.8%Directness8.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Real Madrid, 4 for Deportivo Alavés.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.