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LaLiga · Matchweek 14

Levante

LEV

Racing Santander

RAC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Levante56%
Draw23%
Racing Santander22%

Expected goals

1.97 – 1.19

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.1%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 2–08.1%
  • 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

47%Possession52%
34%Territory43%
26%From set plays30%
0.09Chance quality0.08
6.1%Directness1.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Levante, 3 for Racing Santander. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Racing Santander

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.