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LaLiga · Matchweek 14

Espanyol

ESP

Getafe

GET

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Espanyol36%
Draw36%
Getafe27%

Expected goals

0.93 – 0.78

Over 2.5

25%

Both to score

35%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–019.9%
  • 1–016.7%
  • 0–113.6%
  • 1–113.3%
  • 2–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Espanyol get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

37%Possession39%
30%Territory38%
50%From set plays21%
0.05Chance quality0.08
7.6%Directness10.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Espanyol, 3 for Getafe. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.