LaLiga · Matchweek 14
Elche
ELC
Atlético Madrid
ATM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Elche28%
Draw28%
Atlético Madrid45%
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.48
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–111.4%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–08.5%
- 1–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Atlético Madrid will have the ball; Elche will not mind.
51%Possession60%
39%Territory44%
42%From set plays9%
0.09Chance quality0.07
6.7%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Elche, 3 for Atlético Madrid. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Atlético Madrid
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.