LaLiga · Matchweek 14
Elche
ELC
Atlético Madrid
ATM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Elche20%
Draw23%
Atlético Madrid57%
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.91
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–210.0%
- 0–29.1%
- 1–36.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession59%
40%Territory42%
32%From set plays19%
0.13Chance quality0.11
4.9%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Elche, 4 for Atlético Madrid.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.