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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 14

Deportivo A Coruña

DEO

Barcelona

BAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Deportivo A Coruña17%
Draw21%
Barcelona62%

Expected goals

1.07 – 2.11

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–210.0%
  • 1–19.4%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 0–29.3%
  • 1–37.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Barcelona will have the ball; Deportivo A Coruña will not mind.

50%Possession72%
34%Territory53%
7%From set plays16%
0.09Chance quality0.18
5.4%Directness2.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Deportivo A Coruña, 4 for Barcelona.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.