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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 14

Celta Vigo

CEL

Villarreal

VIL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Celta Vigo32%
Draw28%
Villarreal40%

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.40

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.5%
  • 0–110.3%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Villarreal will have the ball; Celta Vigo will not mind.

55%Possession66%
48%Territory53%
12%From set plays29%
0.08Chance quality0.13
4.3%Directness4.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Celta Vigo, 4 for Villarreal.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.