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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 14

Celta Vigo

CEL

Villarreal

VIL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Celta Vigo28%
Draw32%
Villarreal40%

Expected goals

0.93 – 1.16

Over 2.5

35%

Both to score

43%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–114.5%
  • 0–013.8%
  • 1–113.4%
  • 1–011.3%
  • 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Villarreal will have the ball; Celta Vigo will not mind.

46%Possession61%
36%Territory49%
15%From set plays16%
0.12Chance quality0.09
4.4%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Celta Vigo, 3 for Villarreal. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.