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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 14

Real Betis

BET

Rayo Vallecano

RAY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Betis52%
Draw24%
Rayo Vallecano24%

Expected goals

1.86 – 1.23

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.6%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 1–26.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Betis will have the ball; Rayo Vallecano will not mind.

54%Possession45%
45%Territory36%
36%From set plays20%
0.10Chance quality0.10
4.8%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Real Betis, 4 for Rayo Vallecano.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.