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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 14

Real Betis

BET

Rayo Vallecano

RAY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Betis44%
Draw26%
Rayo Vallecano30%

Expected goals

1.59 – 1.28

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–17.4%
  • 1–27.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Rayo Vallecano will have the ball; Real Betis will not mind.

49%Possession60%
44%Territory44%
24%From set plays12%
0.12Chance quality0.09
4.9%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Betis, 3 for Rayo Vallecano. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.