LaLiga · Matchweek 13
Sevilla
SEV
Real Betis
BET
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sevilla36%
Draw28%
Real Betis37%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.38
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–19.3%
- 1–09.2%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
44%Possession49%
41%Territory44%
20%From set plays24%
0.08Chance quality0.12
6.3%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sevilla, 3 for Real Betis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.