Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 13

Rayo Vallecano

RAY

Valencia

VAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rayo Vallecano48%
Draw27%
Valencia25%

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.07

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–011.8%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–08.4%
  • 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

45%Possession48%
36%Territory31%
20%From set plays13%
0.10Chance quality0.11
6.2%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Rayo Vallecano, 4 for Valencia.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.