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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 13

Rayo Vallecano

RAY

Valencia

VAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rayo Vallecano44%
Draw29%
Valencia27%

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.05

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.8%
  • 1–012.5%
  • 0–09.8%
  • 0–19.1%
  • 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Rayo Vallecano will have the ball; Valencia will not mind.

60%Possession36%
44%Territory32%
12%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.12
5.0%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rayo Vallecano, 3 for Valencia. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 109 matches, not the full season.