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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 13

Racing Santander

RAC

Real Sociedad

RSO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Racing Santander35%
Draw25%
Real Sociedad40%

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.61

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 2–18.0%
  • 0–17.6%
  • 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

45%Possession50%
30%Territory42%
20%From set plays33%
0.19Chance quality0.06
3.4%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Racing Santander, 4 for Real Sociedad.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Real Sociedad

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.