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LaLiga · Matchweek 13

Racing Santander

RAC

Real Sociedad

RSO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Racing Santander23%
Draw22%
Real Sociedad55%

Expected goals

1.34 – 2.11

Over 2.5

66%

Both to score

65%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.5%
  • 1–19.2%
  • 0–17.3%
  • 0–27.1%
  • 1–36.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Racing Santander get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

52%Possession60%
43%Territory40%
30%From set plays15%
0.08Chance quality0.11
1.7%Directness3.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Racing Santander, 3 for Real Sociedad. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Racing Santander

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 109 matches, not the full season.