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LaLiga · Matchweek 13

Levante

LEV

Elche

ELC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Levante41%
Draw27%
Elche32%

Expected goals

1.52 – 1.33

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–09.2%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Elche get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

47%Possession51%
34%Territory39%
26%From set plays42%
0.09Chance quality0.09
6.1%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Levante, 3 for Elche. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.