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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 13

Getafe

GET

Atlético Madrid

ATM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Getafe20%
Draw31%
Atlético Madrid49%

Expected goals

0.72 – 1.28

Over 2.5

32%

Both to score

38%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–117.5%
  • 0–014.7%
  • 1–112.5%
  • 0–210.4%
  • 1–09.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Atlético Madrid will have the ball; Getafe will not mind.

37%Possession59%
41%Territory42%
24%From set plays19%
0.06Chance quality0.11
9.8%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Getafe, 4 for Atlético Madrid.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.