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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 12

Villarreal

VIL

Getafe

GET

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Villarreal58%
Draw28%
Getafe14%

Expected goals

1.43 – 0.58

Over 2.5

32%

Both to score

34%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–019.6%
  • 0–014.4%
  • 2–013.3%
  • 1–110.9%
  • 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Villarreal will have the ball; Getafe will not mind.

61%Possession39%
49%Territory38%
16%From set plays21%
0.09Chance quality0.08
4.6%Directness10.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Villarreal, 3 for Getafe. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.