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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 12

Sevilla

SEV

Deportivo Alavés

DEP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sevilla37%
Draw31%
Deportivo Alavés32%

Expected goals

1.17 – 1.06

Over 2.5

38%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.4%
  • 1–012.8%
  • 0–012.3%
  • 0–111.4%
  • 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sevilla get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

45%Possession40%
48%Territory39%
41%From set plays26%
0.07Chance quality0.09
7.7%Directness8.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sevilla, 4 for Deportivo Alavés.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.