LaLiga · Matchweek 12
Sevilla
SEV
Deportivo Alavés
DEP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sevilla40%
Draw29%
Deportivo Alavés31%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.16
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–011.4%
- 0–19.8%
- 0–09.6%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
44%Possession42%
41%Territory38%
20%From set plays23%
0.08Chance quality0.08
6.3%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sevilla, 3 for Deportivo Alavés. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Deportivo Alavés
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.