LaLiga · Matchweek 12
Real Sociedad
RSO
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Sociedad41%
Draw27%
Rayo Vallecano33%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.34
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.0%
- 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession45%
42%Territory36%
33%From set plays20%
0.06Chance quality0.10
5.8%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Real Sociedad, 4 for Rayo Vallecano.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Real Sociedad
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.