LaLiga · Matchweek 12
Málaga
MLA
Racing Santander
RAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Málaga38%
Draw26%
Racing Santander36%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.45
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–08.2%
- 1–28.1%
- 0–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Málaga get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession45%
37%Territory30%
39%From set plays20%
0.09Chance quality0.19
4.4%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Málaga, 4 for Racing Santander.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.