LaLiga · Matchweek 12
Málaga
MLA
Racing Santander
RAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Málaga44%
Draw27%
Racing Santander30%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.26
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–17.7%
- 1–27.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Racing Santander get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession52%
36%Territory43%
6%From set plays30%
0.09Chance quality0.08
3.5%Directness1.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Málaga, 3 for Racing Santander. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Racing Santander
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.