LaLiga · Matchweek 12
Espanyol
ESP
Deportivo A Coruña
DEO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Espanyol47%
Draw28%
Deportivo A Coruña25%
Expected goals
1.44 – 0.99
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.1%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–09.9%
- 2–19.1%
- 2–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession50%
36%Territory34%
22%From set plays7%
0.12Chance quality0.09
5.9%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Espanyol, 4 for Deportivo A Coruña.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.