LaLiga · Matchweek 12
Elche
ELC
Real Betis
BET
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Elche28%
Draw25%
Real Betis48%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.77
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–18.5%
- 0–26.9%
- 2–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession54%
40%Territory45%
32%From set plays36%
0.13Chance quality0.10
4.9%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Elche, 4 for Real Betis.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.