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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 12

Elche

ELC

Real Betis

BET

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Elche36%
Draw27%
Real Betis37%

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.41

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 0–19.0%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Elche get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

51%Possession49%
39%Territory44%
42%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.7%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Elche, 3 for Real Betis. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 109 matches, not the full season.