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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 12

Celta Vigo

CEL

Levante

LEV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Celta Vigo45%
Draw27%
Levante28%

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.19

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–010.6%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Celta Vigo will have the ball; Levante will not mind.

55%Possession34%
48%Territory29%
12%From set plays18%
0.08Chance quality0.14
4.3%Directness7.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Celta Vigo, 3 for Levante. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.