LaLiga · Matchweek 12
Celta Vigo
CEL
Levante
LEV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celta Vigo47%
Draw29%
Levante24%
Expected goals
1.40 – 0.96
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.7%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–010.7%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession44%
36%Territory34%
15%From set plays27%
0.12Chance quality0.09
4.4%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Celta Vigo, 4 for Levante. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 109 matches, not the full season.