LaLiga · Matchweek 12
Atlético Madrid
ATM
Barcelona
BAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atlético Madrid30%
Draw25%
Barcelona44%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.68
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–17.3%
- 1–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Barcelona will have the ball; Atlético Madrid will not mind.
60%Possession69%
44%Territory52%
9%From set plays18%
0.07Chance quality0.16
4.4%Directness2.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atlético Madrid, 3 for Barcelona. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Atlético Madrid
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.