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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 12

Atlético Madrid

ATM

Barcelona

BAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Atlético Madrid37%
Draw25%
Barcelona39%

Expected goals

1.61 – 1.66

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.5%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 0–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Barcelona will have the ball; Atlético Madrid will not mind.

59%Possession72%
42%Territory53%
19%From set plays16%
0.11Chance quality0.18
5.2%Directness2.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Atlético Madrid, 4 for Barcelona.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.